Grid stability, not capital, is the first constraint on a 1 GW unit in a 3 GW system.
Value
$4bn
Target
2037
Bankability
2
East Africa · Capital Nairobi
Kenya
90%+ renewable grid, the deepest geothermal base in Africa, and the region's most tested PPP framework.
AIDI rank 15 of 5456.4m people$113bn GDP15 tracked projects
AIDI composite
0
Continental average 37.13
Explain figure
Continental average 37.13
Electricity access
0%
3.3 GW installed
Explain figure
3.3 GW installed
Tracked pipeline
$0bn
150 registry projects
Explain figure
150 registry projects
Annual gap
$0bn
Estimated investment requirement
Explain figure
Estimated investment requirement
AIDI trajectory 2015—2025
Commitments vs disbursement, $bn
— committed--- disbursed
Infrastructure sub-indices
Project register · 15 tracked (loading)
| Project | Sector | Value | Status | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Kenya Nuclear Programme Phase I Grid stability, not capital, is the first constraint on a 1 GW unit in a 3 GW system. | Nuclear | $4bn | Concept | 2037 |
Kenya SGR Naivasha-Kisumu-Malaba The unfinished half of the SGR. Without Malaba, the Ugandan traffic case never materialises. | Rail | $3.6bn | Structuring | 2030 |
Northern Corridor Upgrade Transit times published monthly by the corridor authority — the best freight data in East Africa. | Roads + rail | $3.2bn | Construction | 2028 |
Olkaria Geothermal Expansion Africa's geothermal core. Kenya remains the only country converting Rift resource at scale. | Geothermal | $1.1bn | Construction | 2027 |
2Africa Subsea Cable The longest subsea cable ever built; encircles the continent with 46 landings. | Subsea | $1bn | Operational | 2024 |
Tatu City Special Economic Zone Privately master-planned urbanism, with all the governance questions that implies. | SEZ | $1bn | Construction | 2030 |
Lake Turkana Wind Power The transmission line arrived two years after the turbines — the canonical evacuation-risk case study. | Wind | $0.7bn | Operational | 2019 |
Cassava / Nvidia AI Factory The first serious attempt at sovereign African AI compute capacity. | Compute | $0.7bn | Construction | 2026 |
Nairobi Bulk Water Programme Non-revenue water reduction is worth more than new supply, and is far harder to finance. | Bulk supply | $0.6bn | Structuring | 2029 |
Umoja Fibre Route (Google) The first intercontinental route to run overland through the African interior rather than around it. | Terrestrial + subsea | $0.6bn | Construction | 2027 |
Kenya Education Infrastructure Programme Classroom construction under CBC reform; per-unit cost data is among the most transparent in the region. | Education | $0.6bn | Construction | 2028 |
Mombasa Port Berth 22 & Container Terminal III Capacity is no longer the East African bottleneck; dwell time and inland clearance are. | Ports | $0.5bn | Construction | 2027 |
Africa Data Centres Lagos & Nairobi The DFC's largest digital commitment in Africa; power reliability is priced into every megawatt. | Data centres | $0.5bn | Construction | 2027 |
Africa-1 Cable Gulf-anchored capacity into East Africa; diversifies away from the Suez chokepoint only partially. | Subsea | $0.3bn | Construction | 2026 |
LEO Satellite Backhaul Rollout Regulatory approval, not capital, determines the map. Licensing has moved faster than any fibre programme. | Satellite | $0.3bn | Operational | 2025 |
The unfinished half of the SGR. Without Malaba, the Ugandan traffic case never materialises.
Value
$3.6bn
Target
2030
Bankability
34
Transit times published monthly by the corridor authority — the best freight data in East Africa.
Value
$3.2bn
Target
2028
Bankability
88
Africa's geothermal core. Kenya remains the only country converting Rift resource at scale.
Value
$1.1bn
Target
2027
Bankability
89
The longest subsea cable ever built; encircles the continent with 46 landings.
Value
$1bn
Target
2024
Bankability
85
Privately master-planned urbanism, with all the governance questions that implies.
Value
$1bn
Target
2030
Bankability
83
The transmission line arrived two years after the turbines — the canonical evacuation-risk case study.
Value
$0.7bn
Target
2019
Bankability
96
The first serious attempt at sovereign African AI compute capacity.
Value
$0.7bn
Target
2026
Bankability
76
Non-revenue water reduction is worth more than new supply, and is far harder to finance.
Value
$0.6bn
Target
2029
Bankability
56
The first intercontinental route to run overland through the African interior rather than around it.
Value
$0.6bn
Target
2027
Bankability
76
Classroom construction under CBC reform; per-unit cost data is among the most transparent in the region.
Value
$0.6bn
Target
2028
Bankability
83
Capacity is no longer the East African bottleneck; dwell time and inland clearance are.
Value
$0.5bn
Target
2027
Bankability
80
The DFC's largest digital commitment in Africa; power reliability is priced into every megawatt.
Value
$0.5bn
Target
2027
Bankability
86
Gulf-anchored capacity into East Africa; diversifies away from the Suez chokepoint only partially.
Value
$0.3bn
Target
2026
Bankability
78
Regulatory approval, not capital, determines the map. Licensing has moved faster than any fibre programme.
Value
$0.3bn
Target
2025
Bankability
78
Tracked value by sector, $bn
AI briefing note
Generate an investment-committee note on Kenya: position, what is actually being built, financing structure, key risks and what to watch — grounded in the data on this page.
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