West Africa · Capital Abuja

Nigeria

Largest system, largest deficit. Grid decentralisation to states and metering reform are the variables everything else depends on.

AIDI rank 20 of 54229.2m people$363bn GDP17 tracked projects
ZimbabweZambiaUgandaTunisiaTogoTanzaniaEswatiniSouth SudanSudanSouth AfricaSomaliaSomalilandSierra LeoneSenegalSão Tomé and PríncipeRwandaNigeriaNigerNamibiaMozambiqueMoroccoWestern SaharaMauritaniaMaliMalawiMadagascarLibyaLiberiaLesothoKenyaGuinea-BissauGuineaGhanaGambiaGabonEthiopiaEritreaEquatorial GuineaEgyptDjiboutiCôte d'IvoireDR CongoRepublic of the CongoComorosChadCentral African RepublicCabo VerdeCameroonBurundiBurkina FasoBotswanaBeninAngolaAlgeria

AIDI trajectory 2015—2025

Commitments vs disbursement, $bn

— committed--- disbursed

Infrastructure sub-indices

Project register · 17 tracked (loading)

The densest economic corridor in West Africa: roughly 75% of regional trade.

Value
$15.6bn
Target
2035
Bankability
39

Sole-sourced and financed through an infrastructure tax-credit scheme. The governance questions are the story.

Value
$11bn
Target
2030
Bankability
65

Segment-by-segment delivery; financing has repeatedly outrun disbursement.

Value
$6.6bn
Target
2029
Bankability
70

Adds a third to Nigerian liquefaction capacity; upstream feedgas security is the open question.

Value
$5bn
Target
2027
Bankability
80

Twenty million people served by a utility with fewer than 500,000 metered connections.

Value
$2.5bn
Target
2032
Bankability
2

Sub-sovereign delivery outperforming the federal programme it connects to.

Value
$2.4bn
Target
2027
Bankability
70

Nigeria generates far more than it delivers; this is the wires-and-metering fix, six years behind schedule.

Value
$2.3bn
Target
2028
Bankability
70

Nigeria's first deepwater container port; hinterland road access remains the constraint.

Value
$1.5bn
Target
2023
Bankability
80

Social infrastructure is chronically under-tracked; it barely registers in continental pipeline datasets.

Value
$1.1bn
Target
2028
Bankability
86

The longest subsea cable ever built; encircles the continent with 46 landings.

Value
$1bn
Target
2024
Bankability
85

Phase I remains the reference Nigerian IPP; unpaid invoices froze the expansion.

Value
$0.9bn
Target
2029
Bankability
22

The largest distributed-energy programme in the world by beneficiary count.

Value
$0.8bn
Target
2029
Bankability
88

The first serious attempt at sovereign African AI compute capacity.

Value
$0.7bn
Target
2026
Bankability
76

Edge capacity in markets that global operators still treat as too small.

Value
$0.5bn
Target
2027
Bankability
86

The DFC's largest digital commitment in Africa; power reliability is priced into every megawatt.

Value
$0.5bn
Target
2027
Bankability
86

Drove double-digit price declines in West African transit within eighteen months.

Value
$0.4bn
Target
2022
Bankability
80

Regulatory approval, not capital, determines the map. Licensing has moved faster than any fibre programme.

Value
$0.3bn
Target
2025
Bankability
78

Tracked value by sector, $bn

AI briefing note

Generate an investment-committee note on Nigeria: position, what is actually being built, financing structure, key risks and what to watch — grounded in the data on this page.